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SMAP-2     2010.11.03

Author   Addaptron Software Inc
Date   11/03/2010
Size   437 KB
License   Shareware
Price   US $49.00
Platform   Win2000,Win7 x32,Win7 x64,WinServer,WinVista,WinVista x64,Wi
Installation   Install and Uninstall
aFreeGo Rating   Not Rated
Downloads   58
User Rating   0.00
Min Requirements  
Limitations  

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The stock market has different cycles such as four-year presidential cycle fiscal reporting cycles. In addition some cycles are defined by intrinsic characteristic properties of the system. The stock market performance curve can be considered as a sum of the cyclical functions with different periods and amplitudes. It is not easy to analyze the repetition of typical patterns using a simple chart analysis because cycles mask themselves - sometimes they overlap to form an abnormal extremum or offset to form a flat period. Stock Market Analyzer-Predictor SMAP-2 is able to extract basic cycles of the stock market (indexes sectors or well-traded shares) and to predict an optimal timing to buy or sell stocks. Its calculation mainly based on extracting basic cyclical functions with different periods amplitudes and phases from historical quote curve. To detect correctly major cycles the historical price data are transformed from time domain to frequency domain (spectrum). At the beginning SMAP-2 does a simulation (back testing) of forecast on relevant past data in order to estimate the accuracy of prediction with certain parameters. Then it calculates the prediction for the time period forward using internal optimized parameters. Using back testing also allows user to find an optimal time frame. By selecting data with different historical periods user can identify the major cycles which have a dominant effect in a particular time frame. To build an extrapolation (predicted curve) SMAP-2 uses the following two-step approach: (1) applying spectral (time series) analysis to decompose the curve into basic functions (2) composing these functions beyond the historical data. SMAP-2 also enables finding optimal timing to buy/sell by analyzing month of year day of month and day of week (the calculation is based on statistical analysis). SMAP-2 has a user-friendly easy-to-use interface. This software is intended for investors with a basic knowledge in stock investing.

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